Table 2 Forecast (2018–2030) of type 2 diabetes incidence, prevalence and DALY among adults, aged 35–80 years, in Belgium stratified by age, sex and region
From: The future burden of type 2 diabetes in Belgium: a microsimulation model
Region | Sex | Education level | Incidence | Prevalence | DALYs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average 2019–2030 | Total 2019–2030 | 2018 | 2030 | %change | 2019 | 2030 | %change | |||
All | Both | All | 560 (285; 962) | 6722 (3421; 11,538) | 7480 (7307; 7655) | 9930 (7223; 14,187) | 32.8 | 912 (588; 1454) | 1088 (563; 2283) | 19.3 |
Females | All | 558 (277; 990) | 6698 (3328; 11,873) | 7076 (6817; 7,312) | 9784 (7104; 14,261) | 38.3 | 775 (467; 1276) | 954 (471; 2121) | 23.1 | |
Males | All | 555 (291; 946) | 6668 (3500; 11,349) | 7908 (7666; 8190) | 9955 (7393; 14,111) | 25.9 | 1056 (691; 1641) | 1219 (653; 2448) | 15.4 | |
Brussels | Both | All | 568 (321; 992) | 6868 (3880; 11,971) | 7667 (6907; 8286) | 97,76 (7377; 13,921) | 27.5 | 792 (420; 1362) | 963 (448; 2113) | 21.6 |
Females | All | 608 (331; 1043) | 7351 (4005; 12,574) | 7477 (6608; 8443) | 10,284 (7582; 14,429) | 37.5 | 707 (354; 1277) | 883 (394; 2068) | 24.9 | |
High | 397 (211; 668) | 4749 (2567; 8027) | 4287 (3490; 5,293) | 6806 (4698; 9171) | 58.8 | 463 (208; 881) | 608 (253; 1,384) | 31.3 | ||
Intermediate | 732 (417; 1341) | 8923 (5144; 16,353) | 8265 (6194; 10,053) | 11,968 (8992; 18,678) | 44.8 | 731 (297; 1494) | 1010 (429; 2563) | 38.2 | ||
Low | 1233 (585; 2010) | 14,830 (6993; 24,202) | 16,771 (14,228; 19,818) | 21,468 (14,650; 30,549) | 28.0 | 1533 (730; 2901) | 1856 (750; 4402) | 21.1 | ||
Males | All | 570 (291: 956) | 6843 (3,495; 11,469) | 7832 (6764; 8,878) | 9410 (7,017; 13,217) | 20.1 | 875 (456; 1545) | 1038 (501; 2134) | 18.6 | |
High | 479 (259; 801) | 5,785 (3,122; 9663) | 4,958 (4,015; 6,151) | 6520 (4,561; 9,724) | 31.5 | 684 (339; 1257) | 767 (335; 1614) | 12.1 | ||
Intermediate | 574 (323; 1097) | 6992 (3904; 13,249) | 10,176 (7,699; 12,518) | 10,968 (8,240; 16,238) | 7.8 | 934 (410; 1814) | 1171 (545; 2550) | 25.4 | ||
Low | 702 (302; 1189) | 8520 (3655; 14,375) | 12,959 (10,431; 15,667) | 15,219 (12,000; 20,037) | 17.4 | 1385 (641; 2585) | 1581 (737; 3245) | 14.2 | ||
Flanders | Both | All | 552 (278; 940) | 6627 (3332; 11,277) | 6,863 (6,609; 7,111) | 9,514 (6,814; 13,507) | 38.6 | 892 (583; 1405) | 1074 (549; 2205) | 20.4 |
Females | All | 539 (296; 931) | 6511 (3583; 11,233) | 6,273 (5,952; 6,519) | 8,986 (6,380; 13,084) | 43.2 | 721 (440; 1197) | 893 (434; 1965) | 23.9 | |
High | 470 (232; 826) | 5655 (2782; 9924) | 3,179 (2,779; 3,510) | 6,817 (4,470; 10,337) | 114.5 | 471 (269; 832) | 681 (333; 1560) | 44.6 | ||
Intermediate | 547 (269; 978) | 6571 (3228; 11,731) | 5,795 (5,199; 6,372) | 9,562 (6,546; 14,035) | 65.0 | 686 (397; 1169) | 973 (442; 2150) | 41.8 | ||
Low | 771 (346; 1344) | 9230 (4037; 16,123) | 15,021 (14,062; 16,154) | 17,925 (13,667; 24,381) | 19.3 | 1496 (834; 2509) | 1741 (848; 3725) | 16.4 | ||
Males | All | 599 (290; 1092) | 7193 (3487; 13,102) | 7,480 (7,084; 7,837) | 9,998 (7,246; 14,033) | 33.7 | 1064 (704; 1638) | 1253 (663; 2490) | 17.8 | |
High | 516 (273; 835) | 6213 (3280; 10,038) | 4,763 (4,300; 5,151) | 8,064 (5,505; 11,608) | 69.3 | 774 (497; 1189) | 1041 (535; 2058) | 34.5 | ||
Intermediate | 579 (292; 994) | 6948 (3510; 11,924) | 9,896 (9,241; 10,622) | 11,933 (9007; 16,318) | 20.6 | 1299 (783; 2119) | 1467 (759; 2859) | 12.9 | ||
Low | 759 (367; 1394) | 9040 (4365; 16,778) | 9,861 (9,038; 11,109) | 12,508 (8277; 19,542) | 26.8 | 1402 (824; 2293) | 1558 (767; 3405) | 11.1 | ||
Wallonia | Both | All | 564 (286; 1025) | 6768 (3431; 12,306) | 8,595 (8,303; 8,950) | 10,742 (7,930; 15,573) | 25.0 | 991 (610; 1600) | 1149 (613; 2490) | 15.9 |
Females | All | 537 (261; 924) | 6446 (3136; 11,086) | 8,427 (7,976; 8,898) | 11,158 (8,239; 16,363) | 32.4 | 890 (506; 1487) | 1087 (549; 2450) | 22.1 | |
High | 472 (217; 900) | 5659 (2602; 10,797) | 5,178 (4,616; 5,786) | 8,425 (5,958; 13,055) | 62.7 | 573 (317; 995) | 837 (414; 1932) | 46.1 | ||
Intermediate | 644 (362; 1167) | 7739 (4338; 13,995) | 8,723 (7,636; 9,517) | 12,635 (9,625; 17,819) | 44.8 | 921 (500; 1606) | 1210 (597; 2726) | 31.4 | ||
Low | 813 (372; 1470) | 9727 (4442; 17,614) | 14,997 (13,872; 16,626) | 17,053 (12,445; 23,975) | 13.7 | 1568 (836; 2714) | 1619 (726; 3599) | 3.3 | ||
Males | All | 545 (279; 943) | 6542 (3352; 11,313) | 8,764 (8,215; 9,156) | 10,098 (7571; 14,668) | 15.2 | 1101 (682; 1746) | 1215 (673; 2554) | 10.4 | |
High | 540 (274; 961) | 6486 (3289; 11,530) | 4,801 (4,195; 5,354) | 8,055 (5,347; 12,906) | 67.8 | 721 (420; 1170) | 996 (526; 2,314) | 38.1 | ||
Intermediate | 512 (256; 882) | 6140 (3066; 10,562) | 12,566 (11,351; 13,782) | 12,197 (9709; 15,932) | -2.9 | 1429 (805; 2437) | 1371 (731; 2692) | -4.1 | ||
Low | 608 (299; 1035) | 7265 (3583; 12,455) | 11,171 (9,797; 12,812) | 11,741 (8767; 16,849) | 5.1 | 1425 (821; 2396) | 1440 (748; 2936) | 1.1 | ||